Journal Article

·2016 OPEN ACCESS

Does Debt Really Crack the Whip? Evidence from a Panel of Selected OECD Countries

Murat Karagöz YTU , Mehmet Çağlar YTU

Procedia Economics and Finance

Abstract

External debt and GDP relationship has long been a focus of interest. The outcome of time series analyses and a few panel data outcome of previous studies are contradicting. In an attempt of unifying we have tried a panel data model of 17 selected OECD countries. We have estimated pooled regression, fixed effects and random effects models. The result in this first round of estimation was in favor of fixed and ultimately random effects model. However, error terms of all these models turned out to be serially correlated. To overcome this problem several alternative dynamic models have been experimented. Overall result of study shows that for the OECD countries the foreign debt growth relationships is a positive one. Although there are some countries in the world that have a negative relationship, for the case of OECD at least, positive relationships are indicative of good policy administration.

Keywords

Panel data Random effects model Economics Fixed effects model Debt Econometrics Estimation Outcome (game theory) External debt Regression analysis Whip (tree) Macroeconomics Meta-analysis Statistics Mathematics Geography Medicine Microeconomics

Subject Areas

Fiscal Policies and Political Economy ·Economics and Econometrics ·Social Sciences
Monetary Policy and Economic Impact ·General Economics, Econometrics and Finance ·Social Sciences
Global Financial Crisis and Policies ·Finance ·Social Sciences

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